How It Works
Predictions run on end-of-day prices.
YouAnalyst keeps prediction timing simple. Create and close requests do not use realtime quotes. The daily end-of-day run assigns entry prices, updates marks, closes requested predictions, and calculates scores.
Make a prediction
Pick a ticker, choose up or down, and write your thesis. The prediction starts as Live.
Track the mark
Once opened, the prediction receives a daily mark price and provisional score from end-of-day data.
Close when ready
Request a close any time. The next eligible end-of-day run locks the final result and score.
Status Guide
Live
The prediction is waiting for entry, tracking daily marks, or waiting for a requested close to settle.
Final
The final price, result, and score are locked.
How Scores Work
Score is based on the return from entry price to mark or final price. One basis point of return equals one score point. Up predictions earn positive scores when the price rises. Down predictions earn positive scores when the price falls.
Why End-of-Day
End-of-day pricing keeps timing consistent, avoids random intraday quote differences, and makes every prediction easier to compare on the leaderboard.